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The $30bn merger between Comcast and AT&T Broadband has
produced an arbitrage opportunity that could make for volatile trading in
Comcast shares on Monday.
After the market's close, Comcast class K shares will be replaced on the S&P 500 index by its class A shares. The difference between the two classes is voting rights - only class A shareholders can vote. The S&P 500 index allows for only one class of shares from each company. Comcast had listed its class K shares as it had been the bigger class by market capitalisation with 914m shares compared to 22m class A shares. However, following the merger, AT&T shareholders received class A shares, which increased the number of such shares to 1.24bn. Leo Guzman, president of brokerage company Guzman & Company, tracks index funds. He said the removal of class K shares in the S&P 500 index for class A shares would sharply widen the spread between the two class of shares. Under the terms of the complex transaction, AT&T is exchanging its broadband cable operations in return for Comcast stock with a value of about $30bn. On completion of the deal, AT&T will distribute those new Comcast shares to its shareholders in a ratio of approximately 0.32 new Comcast shares for each existing AT&T share. Investors in AT&T will hold two pieces of paper - their existing AT&T shares and shares in the enlarged Comcast. The combined value of those two shareholdings will be the same as the value of AT&T shares today. In nominal terms, however, AT&T stock will trade at a much lower price as it represents a share of the company's telecommunications business and no longer includes the cable operations. To counter this, AT&T is planning a one-for-five stock consolidation after the deal closes, which will ensure that, based on current share prices, its stock trades at more than $25 rather than between $5 and $6. Index fund managers, who own about 10 per cent of the class K shares, will have to sell their shares on Monday and buy class A shares, which could dramatically increase the premium. The change is also expected to spark selling from institutional and retail investors. As both classes of shares are from the same entity, after an initial selling spree the spread between the two should narrow. |